Betting Lines
| Spread | DART -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | COLU +188 DART -188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLU +6 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | DART -3.3 (+9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.5 (-5.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DART -3.0 (+9.0) | 145.8 (-9.8) | 34% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DART -4.8 (+10.8) | 146.9 (-10.9) | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DART -3.0 (+9.0) | 144.7 (-8.7) | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DART -3.5 (+9.5) | 147.0 (-11.0) | 36% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | DART 64 – 63 COLU |
| Jan 24, 2026 | COLU 79 – 69 DART |
| Feb 14, 2025 | DART 78 – 56 COLU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | DART 95 – 89 COLU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | COLU 73 – 63 DART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLU | DART |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-22 | 10-18 |
| Conference | 2-12 | 6-8 |
| Home | 6-9 | 7-5 |
| Away | 1-13 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.3 | 68.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -12.5 (#348) | -5.7 (#269) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.13 (#351) | -1.11 (#280) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.61 (#347) | -1.68 (#294) |
| RPI | 0.399 (#344) | 0.447 (#282) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLU | DART |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.4% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 29.8% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.4% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 23.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.0% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 66.6% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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