Betting Lines
| Spread | BELL -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | BELL -350 CARK +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BELL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BELL +1 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | BELL -8.9 (-7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.8 (-9.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BELL -6.0 (-5.0) | 148.4 (-13.4) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BELL -7.0 (-6.0) | 146.4 (-11.4) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BELL -6.6 (-5.6) | 146.9 (-11.9) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BELL -6.8 (-5.8) | 146.6 (-11.6) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | CARK 86 – 73 BELL |
| Feb 12, 2026 | CARK 84 – 76 BELL |
| Jan 9, 2026 | BELL 84 – 78 CARK |
| Jan 4, 2025 | CARK 71 – 65 BELL |
| Feb 22, 2024 | BELL 68 – 65 CARK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BELL | CARK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 4-14 |
| Home | 8-6 | 6-8 |
| Away | 6-12 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.5 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 82.4 |
| Massey | -5.4 (#264) | -10.7 (#338) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.46 (#222) | -1.17 (#284) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.73 (#236) | -1.78 (#303) |
| RPI | 0.484 (#209) | 0.447 (#285) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BELL | CARK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 28.5 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 6.0 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 20.1% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 18.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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