Betting Lines
| Spread | WRST -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | PFW +140 WRST -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PFW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PFW +2 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | PFW -0.2 (+1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.7 (-0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PFW -0.1 (+1.9) | 155.4 (-3.4) | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PFW -0.2 (+1.8) | 153.3 (-1.3) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PFW -0.2 (+1.8) | 153.0 (-1.0) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PFW -0.1 (+1.9) | 153.6 (-1.6) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | WRST 74 – 70 PFW |
| Feb 8, 2026 | WRST 73 – 68 PFW |
| Feb 6, 2025 | PFW 87 – 64 WRST |
| Jan 16, 2025 | PFW 120 – 113 WRST |
| Feb 29, 2024 | PFW 79 – 77 WRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PFW | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 10-10 |
| Home | 9-6 | 9-6 |
| Away | 7-8 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 78.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 74.7 |
| Massey | -3.7 (#229) | -0.3 (#172) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.55 (#232) | -0.52 (#228) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.70 (#233) | -0.53 (#224) |
| RPI | 0.483 (#212) | 0.470 (#243) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PFW | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 48.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 53.4% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 18.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.4% | 18.6% |
Game Analysis
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