Ich lieb dich nicht; Du liebst mich nicht. "Da da da" - Trio
Horizon League · UPMC Events Center · February 19, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread RMU -3.5 Home covered
O/U 143.5 Under
Money RMU -150 / MILW +160
Model Predictions
Spread Total RMU win
Actual RMU +20 140 Won
Massey RMU -2.4 (+17.6) — —
Massey Totals — 140.3 (-0.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 39% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 45% ✗
Baseline Plus ML RMU -0.8 (+19.2) 141.1 (-1.1) 58% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ RMU -1.6 (+18.4) 143.7 (-3.7) 62% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML RMU -1.1 (+18.9) 141.4 (-1.4) 58% ✓
Baseline ML RMU -0.9 (+19.1) 141.6 (-1.6) 56% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 23, 2026 RMU 88 – 76 MILW
Dec 7, 2025 MILW 74 – 72 RMU
Feb 23, 2025 RMU 72 – 59 MILW
Jan 19, 2025 RMU 81 – 79 MILW
Feb 10, 2024 RMU 71 – 60 MILW

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RMU MILW
Overall 16-17 22-12
Conference 10-10 14-6
Home 11-4 15-3
Away 5-10 6-7
Neutral 0-3 1-2
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 67.5 75.9
Avg Pts Against 67.7 76.6
Massey -4.4 (#244) -3.1 (#221)
Bradley-Terry -1.01 (#271) 0.06 (#166)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.00 (#251) -0.07 (#179)
RPI 0.449 (#281) 0.527 (#126)
Shooting & Four Factors RMU MILW
FG% 43.1% 45.0%
3PT% 30.8% 35.0%
REB / G 34.4 37.7
OREB / G 10.2 11.2
AST / TO 1.00 0.84
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.7% 51.9%
TOV% 19.8% 22.0%
ORB% 29.3% 32.1%
FT Rate 18.3% 23.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.4% 47.6%
Opp TOV% 18.8% 17.7%
DRB% 71.4% 67.0%
Opp FT Rate 21.7% 21.7%

Game Analysis

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