Really don't mind if you sit this one out. "Thick as a Brick" - Jethro Tull
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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49–18 on winners spread MAE 7.3 67 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Middle Tennessee @ Florida Atlantic +8.9 134.8 82% 67–85 ✓
SMU @ Memphis +11.8 152.7 86% 84–99 ✓
Western Kentucky @ Florida International -1.4 143.3 46% 69–78 ✗
Fairfield @ Mount St. Mary's -0.4 126.1 37% 63–60 ✓
Iowa @ Michigan State +2.4 142.7 60% 61–63 ✓
Longwood @ Radford +0.9 129.6 57% 59–63 ✓
Long Island University @ Sacred Heart +10.6 148.3 80% 74–70 ✗
Merrimack @ Central Connecticut +1.9 126.2 38% 64–61 ✗
Saint Francis @ Fairleigh Dickinson +3.7 154.3 64% 82–87 ✓
UL Monroe @ Marshall +14.5 146.6 87% 86–82 ✗
Coastal Carolina @ James Madison +11.7 153.2 85% 69–75 ✓
South Dakota @ Western Illinois +4.8 139.8 74% 72–75 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Tennessee Tech -2.1 143.2 50% 68–80 ✗
Little Rock @ Morehead State +7.5 143.0 79% 72–76 ✓
Lindenwood @ UT Martin +7.3 145.4 79% 59–66 ✓
Milwaukee @ Wright State +2.7 154.2 62% 86–93 ✓
Green Bay @ Northern Kentucky +15.4 134.2 90% 50–68 ✓
Delaware @ Hampton -8.3 141.5 25% 66–67 ✗
Drexel @ North Carolina A&T -2.8 136.7 39% 55–68 ✗
Monmouth @ UNC Wilmington +15.3 123.8 90% 49–52 ✓
Hofstra @ Elon -11.4 140.0 17% 82–65 ✓
Stony Brook @ William & Mary +2.5 131.8 59% 74–77 ✓
Northeastern @ Towson +11.6 132.6 85% 63–72 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Queens University +0.9 146.0 58% 82–84 ✓
Jacksonville @ North Alabama -3.6 135.2 41% 62–80 ✗
Stetson @ Liberty +12.6 135.6 87% 45–74 ✓
Austin Peay @ Kennesaw State +9.3 137.5 85% 57–84 ✓
Charlotte @ Rice -0.3 140.7 48% 63–65 ✗
Utah Tech @ Tarleton State +0.8 138.1 67% 72–74 ✓
Grand Canyon @ Abilene Christian -5.3 141.5 31% 75–73 ✓
Troy @ Louisiana +3.0 141.4 66% 57–72 ✓
Arkansas State @ Southern Miss +11.3 131.4 86% 57–73 ✓
Old Dominion @ South Alabama +1.0 135.5 57% 66–64 ✗
Georgia Southern @ Texas State +3.5 126.8 65% 67–70 ✓
South Dakota State @ St. Thomas +0.0 138.9 44% 54–60 ✓
Omaha @ Kansas City +6.4 134.8 76% 61–64 ✓
Denver @ Oral Roberts +16.0 157.1 89% 61–102 ✓
North Florida @ Central Arkansas -1.1 158.3 52% 85–88 ✗
Nicholls @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +3.6 147.7 67% 86–96 ✓
East Texas A&M @ Lamar -5.6 140.4 27% 62–57 ✓
Seattle U @ Sam Houston +5.6 136.9 69% 40–55 ✓
Tennessee State @ Southeast Missouri State +5.4 152.8 72% 75–92 ✓
McNeese @ Incarnate Word +0.9 140.1 54% 65–70 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ SE Louisiana +8.7 155.4 82% 87–92 ✓
Purdue @ Michigan -3.8 138.5 33% 75–70 ✓
UCLA @ USC -3.1 132.0 47% 64–77 ✗
Colorado @ Oregon +3.9 138.4 72% 69–75 ✓
UTSA @ North Texas +17.5 124.2 89% 59–63 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ UAB +8.8 147.0 81% 59–65 ✓
Houston Christian @ Northwestern State +13.6 154.4 88% 63–82 ✓
Utah Valley @ Southern Utah -0.0 155.3 55% 67–79 ✗
Eastern Illinois @ Southern Indiana +10.7 146.3 86% 74–78 ✓
Weber State @ Idaho -2.3 131.8 33% 73–65 ✓
Idaho State @ Eastern Washington +8.9 142.7 83% 68–81 ✓
Lipscomb @ Jacksonville State -2.8 135.9 44% 67–72 ✗
Portland @ Loyola Marymount +6.3 151.1 80% 60–79 ✓
San Diego @ Pepperdine +2.4 156.3 54% 87–78 ✗
Long Beach State @ Cal Poly -5.0 141.6 28% 70–52 ✓
UC San Diego @ Cal State Northridge -0.5 130.4 41% 65–57 ✓
UC Davis @ Cal State Bakersfield -5.7 128.8 23% 79–58 ✓
UC Irvine @ Cal State Fullerton -1.5 140.2 43% 61–62 ✗
Montana State @ Portland State -4.3 141.7 31% 75–66 ✓
Montana @ Sacramento State +0.6 130.6 52% 48–67 ✓
Arizona State @ Washington -1.5 146.3 48% 66–69 ✗
Utah @ Oregon State -7.6 130.0 25% 63–44 ✓
Arizona @ Washington State -1.5 142.0 41% 63–58 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ Hawai'i +0.9 129.4 46% 65–64 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.