Betting Lines
| Spread | ETAM -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | LAM +220 ETAM -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ETAM +5 | 119 | Lost |
| Massey | ETAM -4.9 (-0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.4 (-22.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ETAM -4.9 (-0.1) | 140.2 (-21.2) | 32% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ETAM -5.6 (+0.6) | 140.4 (-21.4) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ETAM -4.4 (-0.6) | 141.4 (-22.4) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ETAM -4.3 (-0.7) | 141.6 (-22.6) | 31% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | LAM 82 – 61 ETAM |
| Dec 31, 2025 | LAM 69 – 62 ETAM |
| Feb 15, 2025 | LAM 65 – 55 ETAM |
| Jan 26, 2025 | LAM 61 – 58 ETAM |
| Mar 5, 2024 | LAM 70 – 53 ETAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAM | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 9-9 |
| Home | 6-9 | 5-5 |
| Away | 2-12 | 7-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.1 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.9 | 74.2 |
| Massey | -15.9 (#357) | -7.5 (#301) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.60 (#352) | -1.24 (#289) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.73 (#357) | -1.78 (#302) |
| RPI | 0.347 (#362) | 0.431 (#301) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAM | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 28.3% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 22.1% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 25.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 17.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 65.5% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 27.4% |
Game Analysis
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