Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | CSUF +150 UCI -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUF +1 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | UCI -1.6 (+2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.7 (-17.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -2.0 (+3.0) | 142.6 (-19.6) | 42% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -1.5 (+2.5) | 140.2 (-17.2) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -2.1 (+3.1) | 142.2 (-19.2) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -1.9 (+2.9) | 141.9 (-18.9) | 40% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | UCI 86 – 65 CSUF |
| Jan 4, 2026 | UCI 86 – 64 CSUF |
| Feb 28, 2025 | UCI 76 – 51 CSUF |
| Jan 17, 2025 | UCI 82 – 62 CSUF |
| Mar 10, 2024 | UCI 81 – 71 CSUF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUF | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 15-5 |
| Home | 11-2 | 11-4 |
| Away | 7-8 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 72.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.3 | 68.1 |
| Massey | 0.6 (#157) | 5.8 (#87) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#211) | 0.76 (#106) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.23 (#195) | 1.01 (#103) |
| RPI | 0.492 (#188) | 0.538 (#103) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUF | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 38.0% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 26.6% |
Game Analysis
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