Betting Lines
| Spread | KENN -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | KENN -600 APSU +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KENN +27 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | KENN -12.2 (+14.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.6 (+4.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KENN -9.3 (+17.7) | 137.5 (+3.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KENN -10.2 (+16.8) | 140.4 (+0.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KENN -10.2 (+16.8) | 140.3 (+0.7) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KENN -9.6 (+17.4) | 139.4 (+1.6) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 9, 2024 | APSU 85 – 69 KENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KENN | APSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-9 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 3-15 |
| Home | 15-1 | 7-8 |
| Away | 10-6 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 63.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 73.2 |
| Massey | 0.6 (#158) | -8.1 (#310) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.23 (#76) | -1.50 (#310) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.95 (#105) | -2.04 (#316) |
| RPI | 0.574 (#58) | 0.434 (#296) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KENN | APSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 38.9% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 29.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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