Betting Lines
| Spread | SUU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | SUU -120 UVU +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SUU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SUU +12 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | SUU -0.4 (+11.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.2 (-11.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SUU -0.6 (+11.4) | 155.2 (-9.2) | 56% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVU -0.0 (+12.0) | 155.3 (-9.3) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SUU -0.8 (+11.2) | 153.6 (-7.6) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SUU -1.2 (+10.8) | 153.4 (-7.4) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | UVU 92 – 88 SUU |
| Jan 22, 2026 | SUU 84 – 70 UVU |
| Jan 9, 2026 | UVU 89 – 72 SUU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | UVU 100 – 59 SUU |
| Feb 16, 2025 | UVU 70 – 68 SUU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SUU | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-13 | 28-9 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 15-3 |
| Home | 13-2 | 14-1 |
| Away | 5-8 | 12-5 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.1 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.1 | 69.6 |
| Massey | 3.6 (#116) | 6.8 (#80) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.64 (#114) | 1.65 (#53) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.78 (#120) | 2.28 (#47) |
| RPI | 0.541 (#97) | 0.577 (#54) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SUU | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 39.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 31.0% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 44.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 18.9% |
Game Analysis
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