Betting Lines
| Spread | UTM -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | UTM -600 LIN +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTM +7 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | UTM -10.6 (-3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.7 (-21.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTM -9.5 (-2.5) | 146.1 (-21.1) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTM -7.3 (-0.3) | 145.4 (-20.4) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTM -9.5 (-2.5) | 144.9 (-19.9) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTM -9.9 (-2.9) | 145.1 (-20.1) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | LIN 75 – 74 UTM |
| Jan 17, 2026 | UTM 69 – 55 LIN |
| Feb 7, 2025 | LIN 52 – 51 UTM |
| Jan 11, 2025 | LIN 82 – 81 UTM |
| Feb 23, 2024 | UTM 106 – 82 LIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTM | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 6-12 |
| Home | 14-2 | 9-4 |
| Away | 4-11 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.4 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.1 | 76.1 |
| Massey | -4.7 (#249) | -11.8 (#344) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.63 (#241) | -2.23 (#342) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.94 (#246) | -2.49 (#335) |
| RPI | 0.464 (#248) | 0.386 (#347) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTM | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 21.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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