Betting Lines
| Spread | RICE -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | RICE +100 CLT +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICE +2 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | CLT -0.5 (+2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.3 (-17.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLT -0.5 (+2.5) | 141.2 (-13.2) | 44% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLT -0.3 (+2.3) | 140.7 (-12.7) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICE -0.7 (+1.3) | 143.4 (-15.4) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICE -0.3 (+1.7) | 143.4 (-15.4) | 49% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | CLT 80 – 70 RICE |
| Jan 11, 2026 | CLT 74 – 73 RICE |
| Mar 12, 2025 | CLT 64 – 61 RICE |
| Feb 8, 2025 | CLT 78 – 75 RICE |
| Jan 4, 2025 | RICE 68 – 55 CLT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICE | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-16 | 22-14 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 9-11 |
| Home | 11-7 | 11-4 |
| Away | 6-7 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | W4 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.6 | 62.6 |
| Massey | 1.1 (#148) | 5.1 (#98) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.96 (#88) | 0.62 (#118) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.84 (#117) | 0.81 (#119) |
| RPI | 0.536 (#108) | 0.527 (#130) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICE | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 48.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 38.2% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 6.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 55.7% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 24.3% |
| FT Rate | 28.4% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 76.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.4% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
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