Betting Lines
| Spread | LMU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | LMU -250 PORT +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LMU +19 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | LMU -8.6 (+10.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.8 (-14.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LMU -7.2 (+11.8) | 153.3 (-14.3) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LMU -6.3 (+12.7) | 151.1 (-12.1) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LMU -7.9 (+11.1) | 152.9 (-13.9) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LMU -7.9 (+11.1) | 153.7 (-14.7) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 18, 2026 | PORT 71 – 58 LMU |
| Feb 16, 2025 | PORT 89 – 78 LMU |
| Jan 31, 2025 | LMU 88 – 63 PORT |
| Mar 9, 2024 | PORT 78 – 70 LMU |
| Mar 3, 2024 | PORT 70 – 60 LMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LMU | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-12 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 5-11 |
| Home | 13-3 | 10-6 |
| Away | 4-7 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 76.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.9 | 79.1 |
| Massey | 5.6 (#90) | 0.5 (#161) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.27 (#72) | 0.14 (#159) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.40 (#83) | 0.31 (#146) |
| RPI | 0.573 (#59) | 0.494 (#185) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LMU | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 38.0% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 54.0% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 23.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 31.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 75.4% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 18.3% |
Game Analysis
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