Betting Lines
| Spread | MORE -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | MORE -333 LR +333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +4 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | MORE -6.9 (-2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.3 (+2.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORE -5.1 (-1.1) | 145.7 (+2.3) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORE -7.5 (-3.5) | 143.0 (+5.0) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORE -4.9 (-0.9) | 146.0 (+2.0) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORE -5.7 (-1.7) | 146.3 (+1.7) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | MORE 76 – 70 LR |
| Dec 17, 2025 | MORE 78 – 64 LR |
| Feb 8, 2025 | LR 76 – 62 MORE |
| Jan 9, 2025 | MORE 59 – 53 LR |
| Mar 10, 2024 | MORE 69 – 55 LR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORE | LR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 6-12 |
| Home | 14-2 | 8-5 |
| Away | 8-9 | 2-16 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.2 | 75.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 80.9 |
| Massey | -7.5 (#299) | -10.8 (#338) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.48 (#223) | -2.50 (#349) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.92 (#244) | -2.95 (#350) |
| RPI | 0.483 (#213) | 0.358 (#357) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORE | LR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 29.4% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 55.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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