Betting Lines
| Spread | EWU -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | EWU -600 IDST +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EWU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EWU +13 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | EWU -9.5 (+3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.5 (+6.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EWU -8.2 (+4.8) | 142.9 (+6.1) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EWU -8.9 (+4.1) | 142.7 (+6.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EWU -8.8 (+4.2) | 142.7 (+6.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EWU -8.6 (+4.4) | 143.9 (+5.1) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | EWU 88 – 75 IDST |
| Jan 17, 2026 | EWU 84 – 66 IDST |
| Mar 1, 2025 | IDST 78 – 54 EWU |
| Jan 31, 2025 | IDST 78 – 70 EWU |
| Feb 16, 2024 | EWU 88 – 82 IDST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EWU | IDST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 8-10 |
| Home | 11-1 | 7-7 |
| Away | 10-7 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 72.1 |
| Massey | 1.1 (#146) | -4.9 (#250) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.52 (#125) | -1.48 (#306) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.48 (#134) | -1.30 (#277) |
| RPI | 0.518 (#146) | 0.405 (#334) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EWU | IDST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 22.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 28.4% |
Game Analysis
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