Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSD -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Under |
| Money | CSUN +110 UCSD -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCSD +8 | 122 | Lost |
| Massey | CSUN -1.9 (-9.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.1 (-5.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUN -0.0 (-8.0) | 131.8 (-9.8) | 40% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSD -0.5 (-7.5) | 130.4 (-8.4) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSD -0.1 (-7.9) | 131.4 (-9.4) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCSD -0.4 (-7.6) | 131.2 (-9.2) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | CSUN 80 – 70 UCSD |
| Feb 1, 2026 | CSUN 81 – 64 UCSD |
| Jan 16, 2026 | CSUN 84 – 79 UCSD |
| Feb 28, 2025 | UCSD 77 – 71 CSUN |
| Jan 26, 2025 | UCSD 79 – 54 CSUN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUN | UCSD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 10-20 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 5-13 |
| Home | 7-8 | 4-10 |
| Away | 0-14 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.2 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 73.5 |
| Massey | -7.9 (#306) | -6.2 (#284) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.60 (#351) | -1.10 (#281) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.95 (#349) | -1.42 (#285) |
| RPI | 0.371 (#351) | 0.459 (#255) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUN | UCSD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.4% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.72 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.4% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 24.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.8% | 18.9% |
Game Analysis
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