You just want to be on the side that's winning. "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
Big West Conference · Mott Athletics Center · January 27, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread LBSU -4.5 Away covered
O/U 142.5 Under
Money CP +180 / LBSU -175
Model Predictions
Spread Total CP win
Actual LBSU +18 122 Lost
Massey LBSU -2.9 (-15.1) — —
Massey Totals — 144.1 (-22.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 34% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 27% ✓
Baseline Plus ML LBSU -3.0 (-15.0) 144.2 (-22.2) 37% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ LBSU -5.0 (-13.0) 141.6 (-19.6) 28% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML LBSU -2.7 (-15.3) 142.6 (-20.6) 40% ✓
Baseline ML LBSU -2.6 (-15.4) 142.6 (-20.6) 38% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 27, 2026 CP 102 – 92 LBSU
Jan 4, 2026 LBSU 74 – 66 CP
Mar 9, 2025 CP 83 – 69 LBSU
Jan 25, 2025 CP 78 – 69 LBSU
Feb 11, 2024 LBSU 77 – 68 CP

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CP LBSU
Overall 8-25 17-16
Conference 1-18 11-9
Home 6-11 9-5
Away 1-13 6-9
Neutral 1-1 2-2
Last 5 0-5 3-2
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 59.4 75.6
Avg Pts Against 66.3 75.7
Massey -5.9 (#273) 0.5 (#162)
Bradley-Terry -1.39 (#296) -0.12 (#187)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.53 (#289) 0.19 (#159)
RPI 0.412 (#326) 0.506 (#162)
Shooting & Four Factors CP LBSU
FG% 41.6% 44.6%
3PT% 31.1% 29.8%
REB / G 31.7 41.3
OREB / G 8.1 13.5
AST / TO 0.68 1.03
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.3% 48.0%
TOV% 22.0% 18.0%
ORB% 25.4% 34.7%
FT Rate 23.1% 19.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.8% 49.6%
Opp TOV% 18.4% 18.1%
DRB% 75.4% 71.9%
Opp FT Rate 27.4% 22.9%

Game Analysis

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