Betting Lines
| Spread | SAC -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Under |
| Money | SAC -120 MONT +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SAC +19 | 115 | Won |
| Massey | SAC -1.7 (+17.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.9 (-17.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SAC -0.8 (+18.2) | 133.5 (-18.5) | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SAC -0.6 (+18.4) | 130.6 (-15.6) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SAC -1.9 (+17.1) | 133.7 (-18.7) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SAC -0.6 (+18.4) | 134.1 (-19.1) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | MONT 81 – 73 SAC |
| Feb 1, 2026 | SAC 86 – 79 MONT |
| Feb 28, 2025 | MONT 60 – 54 SAC |
| Feb 1, 2025 | MONT 87 – 59 SAC |
| Feb 23, 2024 | MONT 68 – 61 SAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SAC | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 17-14 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 10-7 |
| Home | 9-4 | 8-4 |
| Away | 5-10 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.1 | 69.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.2 | 68.8 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#196) | 0.6 (#159) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.06 (#182) | -0.53 (#229) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.11 (#187) | -0.26 (#200) |
| RPI | 0.498 (#178) | 0.471 (#236) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SAC | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 24.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 77.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.4% | 34.4% |
Game Analysis
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