Betting Lines
| Spread | JMU -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | JMU -700 CCU +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JMU +6 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | JMU -17.9 (-11.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.8 (-13.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JMU -14.0 (-8.0) | 153.0 (-9.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JMU -11.7 (-5.7) | 153.2 (-9.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JMU -13.8 (-7.8) | 155.4 (-11.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JMU -13.9 (-7.9) | 155.3 (-11.3) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | CCU 69 – 68 JMU |
| Feb 19, 2026 | JMU 67 – 65 CCU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | JMU 74 – 73 CCU |
| Jan 31, 2025 | JMU 73 – 64 CCU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | JMU 86 – 76 CCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JMU | CCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 5-13 |
| Home | 11-3 | 8-8 |
| Away | 8-6 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.6 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.4 | 77.3 |
| Massey | 8.1 (#68) | -6.3 (#285) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.32 (#145) | -0.39 (#216) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.92 (#107) | -0.97 (#249) |
| RPI | 0.517 (#148) | 0.490 (#190) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JMU | CCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 28.5% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.4% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 16.9% |
Game Analysis
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