Betting Lines
| Spread | LIP -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | JXST +150 LIP -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JXST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JXST +5 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | LIP -3.9 (+8.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.2 (-0.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIP -3.5 (+8.5) | 137.7 (+1.3) | 36% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIP -2.8 (+7.8) | 135.9 (+3.1) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIP -4.1 (+9.1) | 137.2 (+1.8) | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LIP -3.9 (+8.9) | 138.4 (+0.6) | 35% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2022 | JXST 78 – 67 LIP |
| Jan 12, 2022 | JXST 88 – 83 LIP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JXST | LIP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 11-7 |
| Home | 9-5 | 13-2 |
| Away | 3-12 | 7-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.1 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 72.6 |
| Massey | -7.6 (#303) | -0.2 (#174) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.47 (#302) | -0.21 (#194) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.77 (#301) | -0.26 (#201) |
| RPI | 0.419 (#315) | 0.493 (#187) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JXST | LIP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 53.6% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 17.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 16.7% |
Game Analysis
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