Betting Lines
| Spread | JXST -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | LIP +170 JXST -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JXST +11 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | JXST -4.5 (-6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.3 (-3.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JXST -3.0 (-8.0) | 144.9 (+0.1) | 31% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JXST -4.2 (-6.8) | 145.3 (-0.3) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JXST -2.7 (-8.3) | 146.0 (-1.0) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JXST -2.7 (-8.3) | 146.1 (-1.1) | 35% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 27, 2023 | JXST 72 – 67 LIP |
| Jan 12, 2022 | JXST 88 – 83 LIP |
Game Analysis
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