Twenty-one years in captivity / His shoes too small to fit his feet "Nelson Mandela" - The Specials
Pete Mathews Coliseum · January 12, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread JXST -8.5 Away covered
O/U 143.5 Over
Money JXST -475 / LIP +360
Model Predictions
Spread Total JXST win
Actual JXST +5 171 Won
Massey JXST -14.3 (-9.3) — —
Massey Totals — 147.9 (+23.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 83% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 88% ✓
Baseline Plus ML JXST -12.9 (-7.9) 145.6 (+25.4) 88% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ JXST -11.5 (-6.5) 147.4 (+23.6) 88% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML JXST -11.7 (-6.7) 147.0 (+24.0) 87% ✓
Baseline ML JXST -12.5 (-7.5) 147.1 (+23.9) 87% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 27, 2023 JXST 72 – 67 LIP
Feb 17, 2022 JXST 78 – 67 LIP

Game Analysis

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