Betting Lines
| Spread | TOW -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
| Money | TOW -500 NE +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TOW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TOW +9 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | TOW -10.4 (-1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.5 (+4.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TOW -9.7 (-0.7) | 132.0 (+3.0) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TOW -11.6 (-2.6) | 132.6 (+2.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TOW -8.4 (+0.6) | 133.7 (+1.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TOW -9.9 (-0.9) | 134.4 (+0.6) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | TOW 87 – 78 NE |
| Jan 28, 2025 | TOW 75 – 65 NE |
| Jan 10, 2025 | TOW 80 – 73 NE |
| Feb 2, 2024 | TOW 83 – 76 NE |
| Jan 13, 2024 | NE 67 – 59 TOW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TOW | NE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 10-20 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 6-12 |
| Home | 10-2 | 6-6 |
| Away | 8-7 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 65.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 71.7 |
| Massey | 0.8 (#151) | -6.1 (#278) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.56 (#124) | -0.80 (#260) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.65 (#126) | -1.07 (#261) |
| RPI | 0.516 (#151) | 0.458 (#258) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TOW | NE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 22.0% |
| ORB% | 35.4% | 32.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 17.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.