Betting Lines
| Spread | SIUE -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | TNTC +130 SIUE -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TNTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TNTC +12 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | SIUE -2.9 (+14.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.2 (+6.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIUE -2.7 (+14.7) | 143.1 (+4.9) | 39% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIUE -2.1 (+14.1) | 143.2 (+4.8) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIUE -2.4 (+14.4) | 141.2 (+6.8) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SIUE -2.5 (+14.5) | 142.0 (+6.0) | 40% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | TNTC 62 – 52 SIUE |
| Jan 24, 2026 | SIUE 62 – 58 TNTC |
| Feb 7, 2025 | SIUE 75 – 58 TNTC |
| Jan 11, 2025 | SIUE 67 – 59 TNTC |
| Feb 23, 2024 | SIUE 78 – 77 TNTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TNTC | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 9-9 |
| Home | 11-5 | 9-5 |
| Away | 4-11 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -6.9 (#288) | -0.5 (#181) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.47 (#303) | 0.08 (#167) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.87 (#311) | -0.22 (#194) |
| RPI | 0.432 (#298) | 0.507 (#160) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TNTC | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 23.6% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 17.1% | 30.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.8% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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