And then my good friend Shaggy says "Come spend some time, family" "44/876" -- Shaggy & Sting
Conference USA · Ocean Bank Convocation Center · January 27, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread WKU -1.5 Home covered
O/U 144.5 Over
Money FIU -111 / WKU -115
Model Predictions
Spread Total FIU win
Actual FIU +9 147 Won
Massey WKU -0.9 (+9.9) — —
Massey Totals — 145.0 (+2.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 53% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 51% ✓
Baseline Plus ML WKU -0.5 (+9.5) 144.9 (+2.1) 47% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WKU -1.4 (+10.4) 143.3 (+3.7) 46% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML WKU -0.0 (+9.0) 144.9 (+2.1) 49% ✗
Baseline ML WKU -0.1 (+9.1) 144.6 (+2.4) 46% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 7, 2026 FIU 92 – 67 WKU
Feb 7, 2026 WKU 80 – 70 FIU
Mar 12, 2025 FIU 64 – 61 WKU
Mar 7, 2025 WKU 76 – 67 FIU
Jan 4, 2025 FIU 85 – 66 WKU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings FIU WKU
Overall 14-18 17-16
Conference 8-12 8-12
Home 11-7 9-5
Away 3-10 5-9
Neutral 0-1 3-2
Last 5 1-4 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 72.5 69.7
Avg Pts Against 75.5 71.6
Massey -5.0 (#254) -0.5 (#182)
Bradley-Terry -0.45 (#220) 0.05 (#175)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.92 (#243) -0.22 (#193)
RPI 0.463 (#252) 0.502 (#171)
Shooting & Four Factors FIU WKU
FG% 45.7% 44.2%
3PT% 30.7% 35.9%
REB / G 31.6 32.8
OREB / G 8.5 8.4
AST / TO 0.77 1.22
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.4% 50.9%
TOV% 21.3% 16.2%
ORB% 25.1% 24.4%
FT Rate 19.5% 22.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.1% 50.2%
Opp TOV% 22.6% 18.9%
DRB% 64.7% 68.7%
Opp FT Rate 20.7% 19.6%

Game Analysis

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