Betting Lines
| Spread | KC -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | KC -250 OMA +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KC +3 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | KC -8.1 (-5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.6 (-10.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KC -4.6 (-1.6) | 135.4 (-10.4) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KC -6.4 (-3.4) | 134.8 (-9.8) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KC -4.7 (-1.7) | 136.6 (-11.6) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KC -5.0 (-2.0) | 138.2 (-13.2) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 25, 2026 | OMA 77 – 60 KC |
| Jan 4, 2026 | KC 73 – 66 OMA |
| Mar 7, 2025 | OMA 70 – 61 KC |
| Feb 20, 2025 | OMA 78 – 66 KC |
| Jan 9, 2025 | OMA 77 – 58 KC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KC | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 4-14 |
| Home | 6-8 | 5-7 |
| Away | 3-11 | 1-15 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.0 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.5 | 76.3 |
| Massey | -4.0 (#240) | -8.6 (#317) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.77 (#254) | -0.87 (#267) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.04 (#257) | -1.27 (#274) |
| RPI | 0.464 (#249) | 0.457 (#260) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KC | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.2% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 28.4% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 13.1 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.69 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.4% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 36.0% | 24.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.7% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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