Betting Lines
| Spread | ORU -18.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Over |
| Money | ORU -2000 DEN +1300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORU +41 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | ORU -19.1 (+21.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.9 (+2.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORU -18.4 (+22.6) | 158.0 (+5.0) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORU -16.0 (+25.0) | 157.1 (+5.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORU -16.7 (+24.3) | 157.1 (+5.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORU -18.0 (+23.0) | 158.3 (+4.7) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | ORU 102 – 80 DEN |
| Jan 15, 2026 | DEN 98 – 87 ORU |
| Feb 20, 2025 | DEN 71 – 60 ORU |
| Jan 24, 2025 | DEN 70 – 68 ORU |
| Feb 4, 2024 | ORU 82 – 76 DEN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORU | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-5 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 18-0 | 6-12 |
| Home | 16-0 | 9-5 |
| Away | 11-4 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.5 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 75.3 |
| Massey | 9.4 (#50) | -6.1 (#282) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.91 (#41) | -0.62 (#239) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.35 (#43) | -1.12 (#267) |
| RPI | 0.599 (#30) | 0.450 (#272) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORU | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 49.2% |
| 3PT% | 38.0% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.9% | 53.6% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 23.4% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 18.3% | 30.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.6% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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