Betting Lines
| Spread | QUC -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | QUC -150 FGCU +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | QUC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUC +2 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | QUC -1.4 (+0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.6 (+15.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUC -0.3 (+1.7) | 146.6 (+19.4) | 51% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUC -0.9 (+1.1) | 146.0 (+20.0) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUC -0.1 (+1.9) | 147.6 (+18.4) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | QUC -0.5 (+1.5) | 149.6 (+16.4) | 49% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 16, 2026 | QUC 85 – 74 FGCU |
| Mar 4, 2025 | QUC 71 – 65 FGCU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | FGCU 60 – 47 QUC |
| Jan 4, 2025 | QUC 92 – 83 FGCU |
| Mar 5, 2024 | QUC 69 – 63 FGCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | QUC | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 7-11 |
| Home | 8-5 | 8-5 |
| Away | 7-10 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 3-0 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.5 | 69.7 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#201) | 0.7 (#154) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.07 (#170) | 0.74 (#108) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.23 (#196) | 0.93 (#106) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#182) | 0.547 (#86) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | QUC | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.6% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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