Betting Lines
| Spread | SELA -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | SELA -275 NOLA +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SELA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SELA +5 | 179 | Won |
| Massey | SELA -11.5 (-6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.4 (+20.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SELA -10.3 (-5.3) | 158.2 (+20.8) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SELA -8.7 (-3.7) | 155.4 (+23.6) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SELA -9.6 (-4.6) | 157.0 (+22.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SELA -9.6 (-4.6) | 158.5 (+20.5) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | SELA 82 – 78 NOLA |
| Jan 13, 2026 | NOLA 79 – 76 SELA |
| Feb 1, 2025 | SELA 76 – 68 NOLA |
| Jan 11, 2025 | SELA 91 – 71 NOLA |
| Mar 10, 2024 | NOLA 78 – 66 SELA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SELA | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 7-11 |
| Home | 10-4 | 6-9 |
| Away | 7-8 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.8 | 80.1 |
| Massey | -5.6 (#267) | -13.5 (#352) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.35 (#212) | -2.30 (#344) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.76 (#231) | -2.73 (#344) |
| RPI | 0.471 (#235) | 0.398 (#338) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SELA | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 37.8% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 23.9% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.2% | 55.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 27.6% |
Game Analysis
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