Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | AMCC -150 NICH +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AMCC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMCC +10 | 182 | Won |
| Massey | AMCC -5.6 (+4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.6 (+34.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -3.9 (+6.1) | 149.3 (+32.7) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMCC -3.6 (+6.4) | 147.7 (+34.3) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMCC -3.4 (+6.6) | 147.2 (+34.8) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -3.4 (+6.6) | 147.5 (+34.5) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | AMCC 83 – 76 NICH |
| Dec 30, 2025 | NICH 76 – 71 AMCC |
| Feb 25, 2025 | NICH 71 – 69 AMCC |
| Jan 25, 2025 | AMCC 61 – 57 NICH |
| Mar 13, 2024 | NICH 81 – 73 AMCC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AMCC | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 16-15 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 11-7 |
| Home | 13-2 | 11-2 |
| Away | 7-7 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.1 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 75.6 |
| Massey | -2.9 (#228) | -4.9 (#253) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.00 (#275) | -0.41 (#218) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.00 (#256) | -0.70 (#227) |
| RPI | 0.446 (#277) | 0.490 (#189) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AMCC | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 16.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.2% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.7% | 23.8% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 63.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.4% | 35.1% |
Game Analysis
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