Betting Lines
| Spread | NKU -16.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 125.5 Under |
| Money | NKU -2500 GB +1700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NKU +18 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | NKU -19.7 (-1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.4 (-7.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NKU -17.0 (+1.0) | 131.7 (-13.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NKU -15.4 (+2.6) | 134.2 (-16.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NKU -15.0 (+3.0) | 132.9 (-14.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NKU -17.1 (+0.9) | 133.6 (-15.6) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | NKU 96 – 76 GB |
| Feb 5, 2026 | GB 87 – 84 NKU |
| Jan 11, 2026 | GB 80 – 78 NKU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | NKU 73 – 60 GB |
| Jan 4, 2025 | NKU 78 – 60 GB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NKU | GB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 3-29 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 2-18 |
| Home | 14-3 | 2-10 |
| Away | 6-6 | 1-17 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.7 | 59.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.7 | 76.5 |
| Massey | -1.9 (#214) | -18.1 (#361) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.00 (#178) | -2.95 (#356) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.04 (#172) | -3.57 (#355) |
| RPI | 0.501 (#172) | 0.359 (#355) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NKU | GB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 28.4% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 27.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 7.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 22.3% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 22.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.3% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 55.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.0% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 66.5% | 66.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
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