This will be our year, took a long time to come "This Will Be Our Year" - The Zombies
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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46–19 on winners spread MAE 9.2 65 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Austin Peay @ Murray State +17.1 134.4 90% 56–91 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Akron +12.8 130.9 87% 66–63 ✗
East Carolina @ South Florida +0.1 130.1 43% 65–57 ✗
Wichita State @ Cincinnati +1.9 135.0 63% 76–85 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Florida International -3.5 143.1 34% 71–65 ✓
Old Dominion @ Marshall +0.8 143.4 50% 63–67 ✓
North Texas @ Florida Atlantic -2.4 129.1 37% 54–51 ✓
Long Island University @ Saint Francis -1.7 148.1 42% 81–63 ✓
Wagner @ Sacred Heart -9.8 145.7 17% 76–67 ✓
St. Francis Brooklyn @ Mount St. Mary's +5.5 129.0 65% 64–55 ✗
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Merrimack +6.2 129.3 72% 44–64 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Bryant +12.3 147.9 87% 61–75 ✓
UIC @ Youngstown State +4.3 141.7 67% 79–88 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Robert Morris +9.7 126.6 83% 66–56 ✗
Georgia Southern @ Georgia State +6.2 132.9 77% 63–79 ✓
South Alabama @ Coastal Carolina +0.7 133.6 51% 71–68 ✗
UNC Greensboro @ Chattanooga +9.4 126.9 82% 73–70 ✗
Drexel @ William & Mary -9.7 142.6 19% 72–57 ✓
Delaware @ Elon -3.2 138.8 38% 71–62 ✓
James Madison @ Charleston +4.3 149.2 69% 71–63 ✗
Michigan @ Iowa +6.4 153.1 66% 84–79 ✗
Oregon State @ Arizona +19.6 155.7 90% 69–83 ✓
UTEP @ Louisiana Tech +8.9 144.2 76% 63–60 ✗
Abilene Christian @ Sam Houston +1.5 137.5 55% 71–75 ✓
Louisiana @ UL Monroe -4.0 138.8 35% 78–77 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ Belmont +23.1 139.8 91% 57–81 ✓
UTSA @ Southern Miss -0.8 137.8 38% 98–79 ✓
Rice @ UAB +14.6 153.3 88% 68–92 ✓
Charlotte @ Western Kentucky +8.6 144.6 82% 67–77 ✓
McNeese @ Nicholls +9.4 150.3 83% 73–82 ✓
Little Rock @ UT Arlington +7.7 137.4 79% 70–85 ✓
Arkansas State @ Texas State +5.7 131.1 74% 67–84 ✓
Denver @ Omaha -2.9 147.8 45% 69–72 ✗
Kansas City @ North Dakota -5.7 145.0 31% 80–65 ✓
St. Thomas @ South Dakota +6.5 142.0 83% 60–81 ✓
Western Illinois @ South Dakota State +14.0 158.4 88% 66–91 ✓
Oral Roberts @ North Dakota State -0.5 153.9 58% 59–77 ✗
VMI @ Samford +1.3 157.9 61% 99–100 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ Tennessee Tech +4.2 154.8 69% 94–98 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Tennessee State +2.4 137.2 63% 65–81 ✓
SE Louisiana @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +4.1 153.9 70% 83–74 ✗
Northwestern State @ Incarnate Word +0.4 147.4 52% 88–64 ✗
UCF @ Houston +15.2 131.5 88% 52–70 ✓
Colorado State @ New Mexico -6.0 150.6 23% 83–68 ✓
Oregon @ Arizona State -2.7 140.4 38% 57–81 ✗
Sacramento State @ Weber State +13.8 141.5 87% 50–65 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Idaho State -7.6 145.4 29% 58–61 ✗
Montana @ Idaho -4.3 146.2 37% 76–82 ✗
Montana State @ Eastern Washington +0.6 144.5 54% 86–88 ✓
Longwood @ High Point -3.6 137.7 36% 78–71 ✓
Colorado @ California -1.5 132.6 37% 70–62 ✓
San Francisco @ Saint Mary's +3.6 131.4 70% 64–69 ✓
Creighton @ DePaul +0.3 138.0 53% 71–59 ✗
Cal State Bakersfield @ UC Riverside +7.9 129.1 77% 69–79 ✓
Hawai'i @ UC San Diego -3.3 136.8 37% 65–53 ✓
Long Beach State @ Cal State Northridge -5.5 143.0 23% 72–59 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ UC Santa Barbara +5.9 133.6 70% 67–58 ✗
Northern Arizona @ Portland State +4.3 140.8 71% 67–68 ✓
San Diego @ Portland +0.1 140.8 58% 60–92 ✓
Santa Clara @ Loyola Marymount -6.1 149.4 30% 84–80 ✓
Washington State @ UCLA +9.1 136.1 83% 56–76 ✓
Utah @ Stanford +5.0 140.1 73% 60–56 ✗
Washington @ USC +14.0 144.7 87% 69–79 ✓
Nevada @ San José State -8.4 141.4 23% 90–60 ✓
Butler @ St. John's +7.9 141.0 72% 57–91 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.