Betting Lines
| Spread | NICH -10.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NICH +9 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | NICH -9.1 (-0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.1 (+3.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -9.4 (-0.4) | 150.3 (+4.7) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -8.2 (+0.8) | 148.9 (+6.1) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NICH -7.6 (+1.4) | 150.7 (+4.3) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NICH -8.7 (+0.3) | 151.5 (+3.5) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | MCN 75 – 65 NICH |
| Jan 13, 2026 | MCN 94 – 68 NICH |
| Feb 1, 2025 | NICH 71 – 63 MCN |
| Jan 11, 2025 | MCN 80 – 71 NICH |
| Mar 13, 2024 | MCN 92 – 76 NICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NICH | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 11-22 |
| Conference | 11-3 | 4-10 |
| Home | 11-1 | 6-5 |
| Away | 7-8 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.7 | 73.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 80.2 |
| Massey | -2.2 (#217) | -8.5 (#305) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.51 (#221) | -1.79 (#310) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.84 (#234) | -2.07 (#306) |
| RPI | 0.508 (#168) | 0.450 (#259) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NICH | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 22.6% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 12.9% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.0% | 29.3% |
Game Analysis
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