Betting Lines
| Spread | WEB -15.0 Push |
| O/U | 138.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WEB +15 | 115 | Won |
| Massey | WEB -15.1 (-0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.2 (-25.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WEB -13.8 (+1.2) | 141.5 (-26.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WEB -11.5 (+3.5) | 143.2 (-28.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WEB -11.9 (+3.1) | 143.8 (-28.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WEB -12.0 (+3.0) | 144.2 (-29.2) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2026 | SAC 104 – 90 WEB |
| Jan 4, 2026 | WEB 95 – 82 SAC |
| Mar 9, 2025 | WEB 83 – 70 SAC |
| Feb 21, 2025 | SAC 80 – 77 WEB |
| Jan 25, 2025 | WEB 87 – 81 SAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WEB | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 11-18 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 6-14 |
| Home | 9-6 | 6-8 |
| Away | 8-5 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 64.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -0.2 (#166) | -12.4 (#336) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.40 (#140) | -2.24 (#336) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.50 (#139) | -2.38 (#321) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#162) | 0.394 (#341) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WEB | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 6.4 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 19.6% | 22.1% |
| FT Rate | 28.9% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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