Betting Lines
| Spread | WAG -8.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAG +9 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | WAG -11.6 (+2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.6 (-2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAG -9.8 (+0.8) | 145.7 (-2.7) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WAG -10.4 (+1.4) | 144.0 (-1.0) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WAG -10.3 (+1.3) | 145.2 (-2.2) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAG -10.6 (+1.6) | 146.2 (-3.2) | 17% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2024 | WAG 60 – 57 SHU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | SHU 63 – 53 WAG |
| Jan 21, 2024 | SHU 66 – 61 WAG |
| Mar 2, 2023 | SHU 67 – 55 WAG |
| Feb 3, 2023 | SHU 65 – 56 WAG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHU | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-20 | 21-6 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 15-3 |
| Home | 6-7 | 13-1 |
| Away | 4-15 | 10-5 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.0 | 65.4 |
| Massey | -11.1 (#326) | 3.4 (#120) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.39 (#341) | 1.36 (#73) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.88 (#341) | 1.37 (#93) |
| RPI | 0.393 (#342) | 0.544 (#98) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHU | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 27.5% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.6% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 22.7% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.7% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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