Betting Lines
| Spread | PRST -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRST +1 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | PRST -6.0 (-5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.5 (-6.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRST -4.3 (-3.3) | 140.8 (-5.8) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRST -4.0 (-3.0) | 142.0 (-7.0) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRST -4.2 (-3.2) | 144.2 (-9.2) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRST -4.7 (-3.7) | 143.0 (-8.0) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | PRST 77 – 68 NAU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | PRST 63 – 52 NAU |
| Feb 14, 2025 | PRST 58 – 46 NAU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | PRST 80 – 69 NAU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | PRST 83 – 68 NAU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRST | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 5-15 |
| Home | 7-7 | 5-10 |
| Away | 5-9 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 65.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 74.8 |
| Massey | -7.1 (#285) | -10.3 (#322) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.68 (#307) | -1.61 (#299) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.68 (#286) | -2.07 (#308) |
| RPI | 0.409 (#324) | 0.441 (#284) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRST | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.4% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.5% | 13.9% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 76.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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