Betting Lines
| Spread | NDSU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NDSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NDSU +18 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | ORU -0.9 (+18.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.9 (-15.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORU -0.5 (+18.5) | 153.9 (-17.9) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NDSU -1.2 (+16.8) | 153.5 (-17.5) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NDSU -1.0 (+17.0) | 153.0 (-17.0) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NDSU -0.8 (+17.2) | 153.9 (-17.9) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | NDSU 76 – 65 ORU |
| Jan 24, 2026 | NDSU 86 – 58 ORU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | NDSU 79 – 77 ORU |
| Feb 14, 2025 | NDSU 94 – 88 ORU |
| Jan 10, 2025 | NDSU 110 – 96 ORU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NDSU | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-10 | 19-12 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 12-6 |
| Home | 12-3 | 10-5 |
| Away | 9-6 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 81.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 77.8 |
| Massey | -1.5 (#194) | 2.3 (#133) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.56 (#124) | 0.24 (#153) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.40 (#149) | 0.58 (#130) |
| RPI | 0.528 (#126) | 0.522 (#132) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NDSU | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 38.3% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 39.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 54.9% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 14.4% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 16.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.1% | 13.3% |
| DRB% | 75.7% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 16.7% |
Game Analysis
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