Betting Lines
| Spread | HAW -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | UCSD +120 HAW -140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCSD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAW +12 | 118 | Lost |
| Massey | HAW -2.9 (-9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.8 (-20.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HAW -3.3 (-8.7) | 136.8 (-18.8) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HAW -1.7 (-10.3) | 139.8 (-21.8) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HAW -2.2 (-9.8) | 139.5 (-21.5) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HAW -2.4 (-9.6) | 136.8 (-18.8) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | HAW 72 – 67 UCSD |
| Jan 4, 2026 | UCSD 83 – 73 HAW |
| Feb 23, 2025 | UCSD 83 – 44 HAW |
| Jan 31, 2025 | UCSD 74 – 63 HAW |
| Feb 9, 2024 | HAW 94 – 86 UCSD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCSD | HAW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-16 | 17-11 |
| Conference | 0-0 | 10-5 |
| Home | 9-4 | 10-4 |
| Away | 4-11 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 67.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 64.5 |
| Massey | -5.0 (#254) | 0.7 (#150) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.90 (#249) | -0.14 (#191) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.85 (#235) | -0.04 (#177) |
| RPI | 0.446 (#269) | 0.479 (#211) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCSD | HAW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 30.5 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 5.9 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 18.5% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.2% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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