Betting Lines
| Spread | UNT -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 122.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNT +3 | 105 | Lost |
| Massey | UNT -2.9 (-0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 121.7 (-16.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNT -2.4 (-0.6) | 129.1 (-24.1) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNT -0.8 (-2.2) | 130.8 (-25.8) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNT -1.3 (-1.7) | 130.0 (-25.0) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNT -1.8 (-1.2) | 128.8 (-23.8) | 31% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | UNT 74 – 70 FAU |
| Feb 22, 2026 | UNT 73 – 72 FAU |
| Feb 28, 2025 | UNT 71 – 61 FAU |
| Jan 26, 2025 | UNT 77 – 64 FAU |
| Mar 15, 2024 | FAU 77 – 71 UNT |
Game Analysis
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