Florida Atlantic
Owls
77
–
71
FINAL
Neutral
Conference
American Athletic Conference
North Texas
Mean Green
Betting Lines
| Spread | FAU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | FAU -250 UNT +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAU +6 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | FAU -5.3 (+0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.7 (+10.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAU -4.4 (+1.6) | 137.6 (+10.4) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAU -4.3 (+1.7) | 138.2 (+9.8) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -4.3 (+1.7) | 139.9 (+8.1) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -4.2 (+1.8) | 138.2 (+9.8) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | UNT 74 – 70 FAU |
| Feb 22, 2026 | UNT 73 – 72 FAU |
| Feb 28, 2025 | UNT 71 – 61 FAU |
| Jan 26, 2025 | UNT 77 – 64 FAU |
| Mar 7, 2024 | FAU 80 – 76 UNT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAU | UNT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-9 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 10-8 |
| Home | 13-1 | 11-4 |
| Away | 5-5 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 7-3 | 2-5 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.0 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 64.4 |
| Massey | 12.7 (#31) | 7.4 (#76) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.05 (#34) | 0.71 (#116) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.50 (#35) | 1.20 (#100) |
| RPI | 0.610 (#15) | 0.525 (#126) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAU | UNT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.9% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 37.9% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.1% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 34.1% | 33.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 27.7% |
Game Analysis
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