Betting Lines
| Spread | FAU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | UNT +110 FAU -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAU +4 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | FAU -2.4 (-1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.9 (+18.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAU -1.8 (-2.2) | 139.1 (+16.9) | 40% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAU -0.6 (-3.4) | 136.1 (+19.9) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -1.2 (-2.8) | 139.5 (+16.5) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -1.0 (-3.0) | 141.7 (+14.3) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | UNT 74 – 70 FAU |
| Feb 22, 2026 | UNT 73 – 72 FAU |
| Feb 28, 2025 | UNT 71 – 61 FAU |
| Jan 26, 2025 | UNT 77 – 64 FAU |
| Mar 15, 2024 | FAU 77 – 71 UNT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNT | FAU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 25-9 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 14-4 |
| Home | 11-4 | 13-1 |
| Away | 6-6 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 2-5 | 7-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 82.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.4 | 73.4 |
| Massey | 6.9 (#84) | 12.5 (#34) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.64 (#119) | 1.91 (#44) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.12 (#105) | 2.34 (#40) |
| RPI | 0.526 (#129) | 0.606 (#18) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNT | FAU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 47.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.2% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 38.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.39 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 54.9% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 34.8% | 34.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.5% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.