Betting Lines
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | UIW +110 NWST -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NWST +24 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | UIW -1.0 (-25.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.2 (+2.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UIW -0.4 (-24.4) | 147.4 (+4.6) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIW -0.2 (-24.2) | 147.1 (+4.9) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NWST -0.2 (-23.8) | 148.1 (+3.9) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NWST -0.7 (-23.3) | 147.9 (+4.1) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2026 | NWST 54 – 49 UIW |
| Jan 17, 2026 | UIW 76 – 74 NWST |
| Mar 4, 2025 | NWST 73 – 57 UIW |
| Dec 6, 2024 | NWST 72 – 70 UIW |
| Feb 17, 2024 | NWST 81 – 61 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIW | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 3-11 | 5-9 |
| Home | 5-10 | 6-6 |
| Away | 1-11 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.0 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 82.6 |
| Massey | -14.7 (#349) | -12.8 (#339) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.91 (#349) | -2.48 (#342) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.15 (#346) | -2.77 (#336) |
| RPI | 0.408 (#326) | 0.430 (#305) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIW | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.1% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 29.4 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 22.4% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 16.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.1% | 54.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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