Betting Lines
| Spread | PORT -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PORT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PORT +32 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | PORT -1.9 (+30.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.1 (+16.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PORT -0.1 (+31.9) | 140.8 (+11.2) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PORT -1.5 (+30.5) | 140.3 (+11.7) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PORT -1.6 (+30.4) | 140.9 (+11.1) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PORT -1.2 (+30.8) | 140.4 (+11.6) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | PORT 87 – 74 USD |
| Feb 12, 2026 | USD 71 – 58 PORT |
| Mar 2, 2025 | USD 82 – 80 PORT |
| Jan 24, 2025 | PORT 92 – 82 USD |
| Feb 16, 2024 | USD 71 – 66 PORT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PORT | USD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 7-9 |
| Home | 11-4 | 8-6 |
| Away | 6-9 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 63.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.0 | 68.7 |
| Massey | -2.6 (#222) | -1.6 (#198) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.03 (#176) | 0.19 (#160) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.23 (#195) | 0.40 (#148) |
| RPI | 0.481 (#207) | 0.509 (#165) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PORT | USD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 23.9% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 28.5% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 17.3% |
Game Analysis
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