Betting Lines
| Spread | BRY -13.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRY +14 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | BRY -12.7 (+1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.8 (-11.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRY -12.3 (+1.7) | 147.9 (-11.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRY -10.6 (+3.4) | 148.3 (-12.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRY -10.3 (+3.7) | 148.6 (-12.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRY -10.1 (+3.9) | 146.7 (-10.7) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2022 | BRY 73 – 59 CCSU |
| Dec 30, 2021 | BRY 80 – 76 CCSU |
| Jan 8, 2021 | BRY 76 – 64 CCSU |
| Jan 7, 2021 | BRY 93 – 68 CCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRY | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-10 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 5-13 |
| Home | 14-1 | 5-7 |
| Away | 8-7 | 4-15 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 61.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -3.7 (#233) | -13.5 (#346) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.42 (#212) | -2.36 (#339) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.57 (#215) | -2.94 (#343) |
| RPI | 0.506 (#173) | 0.408 (#327) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRY | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 29.8% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 40.4 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 19.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.4% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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