Betting Lines
| Spread | BRY -17.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.0 Under |
| Money | BRY -1800 CCSU +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRY +14 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | BRY -14.0 (-0.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.9 (-15.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRY -12.4 (+1.6) | 147.7 (-15.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRY -11.6 (+2.4) | 148.5 (-16.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRY -11.6 (+2.4) | 149.4 (-17.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRY -11.0 (+3.0) | 147.0 (-15.0) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2022 | BRY 75 – 61 CCSU |
| Dec 30, 2021 | BRY 80 – 76 CCSU |
| Jan 8, 2021 | BRY 76 – 64 CCSU |
| Jan 7, 2021 | BRY 93 – 68 CCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRY | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-10 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 5-13 |
| Home | 14-1 | 5-7 |
| Away | 8-7 | 4-15 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 61.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -2.9 (#221) | -14.1 (#347) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.20 (#195) | -2.42 (#343) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.27 (#195) | -3.08 (#346) |
| RPI | 0.518 (#140) | 0.410 (#335) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRY | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 39.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 40.5 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.1% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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