Betting Lines
| Spread | BRY -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 167.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRY +12 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | BRY -19.0 (-7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 172.2 (-32.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRY -13.3 (-1.3) | 157.3 (-17.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRY -15.6 (-3.6) | 159.5 (-19.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRY -16.4 (-4.4) | 159.5 (-19.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRY -15.0 (-3.0) | 160.3 (-20.3) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2022 | BRY 73 – 59 CCSU |
| Feb 18, 2022 | BRY 75 – 61 CCSU |
| Dec 30, 2021 | BRY 80 – 76 CCSU |
| Jan 7, 2021 | BRY 93 – 68 CCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRY | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-7 | 5-16 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 5-13 |
| Home | 10-1 | 3-6 |
| Away | 5-5 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.2 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 77.4 |
| Massey | 8.0 (#65) | -7.7 (#282) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.47 (#75) | -0.86 (#233) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.55 (#59) | -0.83 (#217) |
| RPI | 0.594 (#50) | 0.483 (#188) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRY | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 41.7% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 39.8 | 30.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.1% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 20.5% |
| FT Rate | 30.3% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 56.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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