Betting Lines
| Spread | BRY -12.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 166.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRY +25 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | BRY -17.5 (+7.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 174.5 (-13.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRY -13.3 (+11.7) | 155.7 (+5.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRY -14.6 (+10.4) | 160.0 (+1.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRY -15.5 (+9.5) | 162.1 (-1.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRY -14.2 (+10.8) | 163.3 (-2.3) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2022 | BRY 73 – 59 CCSU |
| Feb 18, 2022 | BRY 75 – 61 CCSU |
| Dec 30, 2021 | BRY 80 – 76 CCSU |
| Jan 8, 2021 | BRY 76 – 64 CCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRY | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-7 | 5-16 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 5-13 |
| Home | 10-1 | 3-6 |
| Away | 5-5 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.2 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 77.4 |
| Massey | 6.4 (#83) | -7.8 (#283) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.20 (#85) | -1.03 (#242) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.05 (#74) | -1.34 (#239) |
| RPI | 0.593 (#51) | 0.458 (#217) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRY | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 42.1% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 30.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 7.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.1% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 25.9% | 20.8% |
| FT Rate | 31.5% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 56.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 66.0% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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