Betting Lines
| Spread | BRY -8.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRY +4 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | BRY -2.2 (-1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.9 (+10.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRY -4.2 (+0.2) | 147.1 (+8.9) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRY -2.0 (-2.0) | 143.6 (+12.4) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRY -1.9 (-2.1) | 144.8 (+11.2) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRY -1.4 (-2.6) | 144.1 (+11.9) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2022 | BRY 73 – 59 CCSU |
| Feb 18, 2022 | BRY 75 – 61 CCSU |
| Jan 8, 2021 | BRY 76 – 64 CCSU |
| Jan 7, 2021 | BRY 93 – 68 CCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCSU | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 22-10 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 16-2 |
| Home | 5-7 | 14-1 |
| Away | 4-15 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.8 | 76.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 74.0 |
| Massey | -12.8 (#338) | -6.3 (#279) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.20 (#327) | -1.25 (#272) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.01 (#325) | -1.09 (#247) |
| RPI | 0.401 (#327) | 0.447 (#264) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCSU | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.7% | 39.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 28.2% |
| REB / G | 31.3 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.67 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.0% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 23.4% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 16.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 65.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 18.3% |
Game Analysis
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