Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AMCC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SELA +9 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | AMCC -5.6 (-14.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.6 (+3.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMCC -4.1 (-13.1) | 153.9 (+3.1) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMCC -4.0 (-13.0) | 154.2 (+2.8) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -3.6 (-12.6) | 156.1 (+0.9) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -3.7 (-12.7) | 154.8 (+2.2) | 67% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2026 | AMCC 73 – 68 SELA |
| Jan 17, 2026 | AMCC 68 – 56 SELA |
| Mar 1, 2025 | AMCC 68 – 54 SELA |
| Jan 4, 2025 | AMCC 80 – 71 SELA |
| Mar 2, 2024 | AMCC 80 – 68 SELA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AMCC | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 10-4 |
| Home | 9-4 | 10-1 |
| Away | 7-6 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 7-2 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 79.1 |
| Massey | -4.8 (#250) | -7.5 (#291) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.04 (#263) | -0.91 (#250) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.32 (#265) | -1.37 (#269) |
| RPI | 0.431 (#302) | 0.488 (#193) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AMCC | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 34.5% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 29.8% | 27.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.2% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.6% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.