Betting Lines
| Spread | MONT -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IDHO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IDHO +6 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | MONT -4.5 (+10.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.2 (+10.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 19% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONT -4.3 (+10.3) | 146.2 (+11.8) | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONT -4.3 (+10.3) | 147.4 (+10.6) | 29% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MONT -4.3 (+10.3) | 147.8 (+10.2) | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONT -4.5 (+10.5) | 148.6 (+9.4) | 35% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | IDHO 77 – 66 MONT |
| Feb 7, 2026 | MONT 73 – 68 IDHO |
| Jan 9, 2026 | MONT 79 – 73 IDHO |
| Mar 12, 2025 | MONT 78 – 55 IDHO |
| Jan 21, 2025 | MONT 72 – 67 IDHO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IDHO | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 11-9 |
| Home | 8-7 | 14-3 |
| Away | 1-12 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.3 | 69.7 |
| Massey | -11.2 (#327) | -3.8 (#235) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.16 (#329) | -0.20 (#193) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.28 (#316) | -0.25 (#196) |
| RPI | 0.401 (#332) | 0.490 (#188) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IDHO | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 29.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 5.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 23.6% | 17.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 29.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 30.5% |
Game Analysis
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