Betting Lines
| Spread | SCU -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +4 | 164 | Lost |
| Massey | SCU -6.6 (+2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.3 (+11.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCU -6.1 (+2.1) | 149.4 (+14.6) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCU -5.2 (+1.2) | 152.3 (+11.7) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCU -4.9 (+0.9) | 153.0 (+11.0) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCU -5.5 (+1.5) | 151.6 (+12.4) | 30% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | SCU 104 – 73 LMU |
| Jan 11, 2026 | SCU 103 – 72 LMU |
| Feb 21, 2025 | SCU 76 – 61 LMU |
| Jan 17, 2025 | LMU 57 – 54 SCU |
| Feb 23, 2024 | SCU 65 – 55 LMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LMU | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-18 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 3-12 | 10-5 |
| Home | 6-7 | 14-4 |
| Away | 3-9 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.1 | 77.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 71.9 |
| Massey | -2.2 (#216) | 7.3 (#79) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.11 (#166) | 1.36 (#75) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.16 (#162) | 1.76 (#71) |
| RPI | 0.512 (#156) | 0.558 (#69) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LMU | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 48.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 30.2 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 54.5% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 23.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.2% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 15.4% |
Game Analysis
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